Tabke Predicts Major Google Algorithm Update By Years End

Sep 8, 2011 • 8:45 am | comments (18) by twitter Google+ | Filed Under Google PageRank & Algorithm Updates

Google WebmasterA WebmasterWorld thread has a short but to the point prediction by Brett Tabke, the founder of WebmasterWorld. Brett feels that Google will be pushing out a major algorithm update, the size of Florida from 2003, by the end of the year.

Brett said:

Larry Page has been at the helm coming up on six months. According to various reports, LP has put alot of faith back in the algo nerds. I look for a Florida like update on the organic side before the end of the year.

Brett has been following Google updates since before Google was even doing real updates, so he knows his stuff.

But do you expect something as significant as Florida to hit by the end of the year, given we just had Panda in February?

Look at the Google update history outline:

  • Fritz (Summer 2003)
  • Florida (November 2003)
  • Austin Update (Jan 2004)
  • The Sandbox (April 2004)
  • Bourbon (May 2005)
  • Big Daddy (October 2005)
  • Supplemental (Jan 2007)
  • Paid Links (October 2007)
  • Dewey Update (Mar 2008)
  • Vince / Brand (March 2009)
  • May Day (May 2010)
  • Caffeine (June 2010)
  • Scraper Filter (Jan. 2011)
  • Panda (February 2011)

Major, major updates, rarely ever happen twice a year but I guess anything is possible.

We know Google is looking to improve their scraper detection but would that be the size of Florida? I doubt it.

Anyway, what do you think?

Forum discussion at WebmasterWorld.

Previous story: Google Says Thank You To Top Forum Posters By Holding A Summit


franz enzenhofer

09/08/2011 01:07 pm

unactionable and irrelevant  yes, there will be a algo update, there are always algo updates. and if there wouldn't be we webmasters would invent them.  anyway: algo updates are unactionable as we do not know how they will impact our sites. any change we do now could have a positive impact or a negativ impact or no impact. yes there is the high chance that google will keep pushing "quality" in whichever way the define it but making such changes would already help us now, so there is no need to wait for an algo update.... seo is the business of getting found - and it's a pretty simple business: we act, then wait and measure, then based on the figures we act again, .... as we can not measure something that did not happen yet it is pretty irrelevant if there will be a "big" alog update or not. 

Barry Schwartz

09/08/2011 01:08 pm

Sorry to disappoint.

franz enzenhofer

09/08/2011 01:52 pm

i'm not disappointed, it's just a rant about algo-talk in general 

Joe Youngblood

09/08/2011 02:14 pm

I disagree to an extent. Matt Cutts likes to say that SEO's should figure out where Google is going in the future and not what they are looking at now. Those who didnt head that advice (and may day) got nailed. Since big G rarely tells us whats about to happen, if know something is about to happen it would be a good exercise to brainstorm and try to see what that might be.


09/08/2011 02:30 pm

yes - they are a mess right now and they must know they need to work it over - I even saw Dex in the number one spot the other day for a major service industry keyword category local search - clicked the link to see what would really show up and it was a junk listing page - haven't seen them in months? maybe a couple years?

Lindsey Anderson

09/08/2011 03:24 pm

I think it's entirely possible.  Given the recent updates put towards Panda and the time frame for roll outs - it falls in line perfectly.  As for what Franz Enzenhofer was saying about SEO being a business of act and then react - I don't know how you plan for the future but I certainly don't sit around waiting for something to happen - I make sure I'm ready for it, and what better way than to discuss possibilities?  


09/08/2011 03:42 pm

"We know Google is looking to improve their scraper detection" We know Google is looking to make even more money. My bet is that page 2 as well will be filled with Google products.

Michael Martinez

09/08/2011 03:49 pm

They've rolled out major updates every October.  You can almost set you clock by their fall updates.

Patrick Curl

09/08/2011 08:36 pm

Update or not, as long as we as SEO's find ways to make our content BOTH high quality AND strong keyword density, without being non-readable to humans, and as long as we only focus on quality backlinks from high-quality sources... Guest Blogging being a good example, then we should be safe from any ill-fated google updates... Maybe instead we should speculate on what they're gonna call it... My vote is for sumo kangaroo. 


09/09/2011 08:03 am

I disagree with your timeframe, I think unless its very soon (next month), then there won't be a change till the new year, changes made in the last half of the year always end up causing a massive backlash from google Adwords clients I.e you change the algorithm to make us spend more money at X mass (peak season), However there is a big one coming, & i reckon it will contain these element to name but a few, Content validation (an attack content farms & poorly produced content & the links they contain). Author validation think of author as brands. Social (yes they already use some element but they have a lot more of there own data now). A change to personalization based on social, I think I heard the figure that 33% of america now have a Google account now because of android & G plus.


09/09/2011 10:45 am

You didn't notice any early changes in September yet. They will be making many a company mad and don't be surprised to see them encouraging use of Bing or more softie partnerships from the big online retailers.

franz enzenhofer

09/09/2011 12:06 pm

premature optimization is the root of all evil,or.r_gc.r_pw.r_cp.&fp=398a36f7bbe31f9a&biw=1218&bih=645


09/09/2011 12:34 pm

I have no predictions for when Google will roll out their next change, but I'm excited to rethink my SEO strategy again once they do.


09/20/2011 11:12 am

I think this Google Algo Update is already happening because we saw a massive and dramatically dropped on our SERP result. Most of our major are already on page 1, now they are gone.  Next SEO brainstorming. jeezzz and new SEO strategy to be back on top.

Shivanand Nabar

09/23/2011 04:42 am

same here my rankings have dropped as well 


09/29/2011 11:21 pm

I'm wondering what the heck is going on right now. Over the past 7 days the rankings of my 40+ sites have dropped dramatically. Hundreds of rankings all took a hit for some unknown reason????


10/01/2011 09:55 am

i hope that the main issues with SEO stuff is  LINKS:    Too much of link building  Content:   Content spamming  So google will target more content spams and links and i feel it would change even the link structure. Social will play a major role in year 2011 Dec

Arun rana

01/22/2012 04:58 pm

hi new algo update on 19 jun 2012 ,,please post about it..

blog comments powered by Disqus